Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks October 4: Zac Gallen Leads Arizona Diamondbacks vs Brewers
Colby Conway brings you top MLB picks at Underdog Fantasy for the MLB Wild Card games on Wednesday, October 4th.
We hit on Tyler Glasnow yesterday, but fell just one strikeout shy of Jesus Luzardo’s strikeout prop, and a 2-for-2 day. However, as we look at today's MLB playoff action, I find myself backing Zac Gallen of the Arizona Diamondbacks and Nick Castellanos of the Philadelphia Phillies, taking on the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins respectively. These two make up my best bets of the day, and my favorite MLB player props for Game 2 of the Wild Card round. Our MLB daily projections and MLB Batter vs Pitcher page will help uncover the best matchups for MLB player props, best bets, and MLB DFS lineups for today’s playoff action. Without further ado, let's dive into my top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for Wednesday, October 4th.
MLB Wild Card Underdog Fantasy Picks October 4th
Zac Gallen, Arizona Diamondbacks - HIGHER than 26.5 Fantasy Points
Brandon Pfaadt only lasted 2.2 innings yesterday, requiring Arizona to dive into its bullpen earlier than they would have wanted. Sure, some of those relievers can throw again today, but in a perfect world, they let Gallen work deeper into this game to give the bullpen a bit of a breather today, just in case there ends up being a Game 3. Gallen is an ace that deserves a bit of leeway, and I expect them to give him opportunities to work through anything that may come up. Regardless, I don’t love Gallen’s home/road splits today, but I do love the fact that he has dominated Milwaukee this season. He’s faced the Brewers twice, resulting in a 15:2 K/BB ratio and 0.64 ERA across 14 innings pitched. Oh, and he logged a quality start and win in both of those outings, easily pushing him past today’s line. He had a couple of rough starts down the stretch, but still posted a 3.45 ERA (2.97 FIP) and 26.8 percent strikeout rate over his final five starts. Six innings, six strikeouts and three or fewer earned runs and we are in the green!
Nick Castellanos, Philadelphia Phillies - HIGHER than 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Castellanos ripped two doubles last night, one off Jesus Luzardo and another off Steven Okert, both of whom just so happen to be left-handed! That’s important for two reasons, one of which is because Miami is sending another southpaw to the mound today in Braxton Garrett. Secondly, Castellanos hit lefties at a .324 clip during the regular season, including a massive .561 SLG, .930 OPS, and .237 ISO! Castellanos loves his home park, as he posted a .900 OPS and .249 ISO during the season there, so you can only imagine his numbers at home when facing a lefty. If you can’t imagine, I’ll tell you here. How does a .395 average, 1.163 OPS, and .337 ISO at home against a southpaw sound? Pretty good? Well, that’s what we’re getting today, not to mention a particular southpaw that has allowed a .448 SLG to right-handed hitters this season. Lastly, Garett has made two starts against Philadelphia this year, resulting in a 5.40 ERA, .286 BAA, and 1.40 WHIP.