MLB DFS Value Vault September 16: Lucas Giolito Against the Tigers
Ray Kuhn brings you his favorite MLB DFS value plays for the Friday, September 16th daily fantasy baseball main slate on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo.
here is no better way to head into the weekend than with a little extra MLB DFS cash in your virtual pocket. That is the intention here tonight as we have a filled to brim, 14-game MLB DFS main slate to work with. In the time leading up to lineup lock, it is important stay up to date with all of the tools at your disposal while following along with the latest MLB news, MLB lineups, and MLB weather. Now, let us jump right into some MLB DFS value picks for tonight.
MLB DFS Value Pitchers
Corey Kluber (TB); DraftKings - $7,400; FanDuel - $8,700; Yahoo - $35
I know that it was far from the best of starts for Kluber, and that is putting it mildly, but that also means we get a $1k discount on DK. Kluber was unable to get out of the first inning against the Yankees as he allowed six runs on eight hits which did a number on his ERA for the season. The right-hander’s ERA now sits at 4.36 overall but his 3.61 FIP does help you feel a little more comfortable even if the overall ERA has been rough as of late. From a DFS perspective though, the fact that Kluber strikes out close to eight batters per nine innings while only walking one helps maintain his value in the sweet spot of 15 to 20 DK points with upside. In a solid matchup against Texas, I would look for Kluber to turn things around.
Lucas Giolito (CWS); DraftKings - $7,800; FanDuel - $9,000; Yahoo - $35
I know that from a season-long perspective, Giolito left a lot of fantasy managers disappointed, but for us we only care about the six innings we are looking for tonight. Taking advantage of Detroit’s lackluster offense is always a good place to start and with 10 strikeouts per nine innings, we begin with some DFS upside. Giolito has fell victim to a .352 BABIP this season and his 4.20 FIP (3.65 xFIP) look at lot better than the 5.18 ERA we get to stare at. But with Detroit at the bottom of the league when it comes to offense, all we need to tonight are some strikeouts and some upside.
MLB DFS Value Hitters
Cavan Biggio, 1B/2B/3B (TOR); DraftKings - $2,700; FanDuel - $2,100; Yahoo - $9
Depending on the site, we have some flexibility with Biggio as to where to use him across the infield, but what catches our attention is the fact that he is batting fifth tonight. While the results have been there overall for Jordan Lyles this season, he is clearly a success of Camden Yards as his ERA on the road at 5.38 leaves a lot to be desired compared to his home ERA of 3.77 even though opponents are doing better from a batting average perspective on the road (.277 compared to .294). Either way, Lyles has given up 21 home runs this season and is more than hittable tonight which makes Biggio a cost-effective piece of any Toronto stack. The results have not really been there this year for Biggio, but a 19.1-degree launch angle and Lyles struggles this year means there is a decent chance of him going deep tonight.
Robbie Grossman, OF (ATL); DraftKings - $2,300; FanDuel - $2,600; Yahoo - $11
Since joining Atlanta, Grossman has been productive at the bottom of their order but he remains a cost-effective option. The outfielder is coming of a three-hit effort on Wednesday and is hitting .296 over his last 10 games with two home runs and nine RBI. Against left-handers, Grossman is hitting .336 this season so we expect another strong effort tonight against Ranger Suárez.
Brendan Donovan, 2B/3B/SS (STL); DraftKings - $3,300; FanDuel - $3,100; Yahoo - $18
Big things are expected from the Cardinals’ offense tonight, and that figures to start with Donovan at the top of their order against Fernando Cruz. In 334 plate appearances this season, Donovan is hitting .290 against right-handed pitching with 44 RBI, 32 runs scored, and 35 walks which should put him right in the middle of whatever damage St. Louis musters up tonight.
Gunnar Henderson, 2B/3B/SS (BAL); DraftKings – $3,500; FanDuel - $3,000; Yahoo - $20
Henderson is coming off back-to-back multi hit games and in the 14 games since his promotion, the top prospect is hitting .320 with a home run and nine RBI. Henderson’s pedigree and reputation precedes him and the fact that he is “only” striking out 20.4% of the time through the small sample size is a plus with just about half of his batted balls (48.7%) registering as hard-hit.
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