Loudon New Hampshire is the home of New Hampshire Motor Speedway. That venue is the host for the Crayon 301 — this weekend’s race. Known as the “Magic Mile”, it’s a sneaky favorite track of mine and is always one of the more challenging tracks on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule. There’s also the fact that after the last few weekends of unpredictable races and tracks, it’s time for a less variance-laden race. That being said, there is a lot to talk about for strategy, weather,

What’s the weather forecast in Loudon New Hampshire?

It’s messy. There’s a 95-percent chance of rain most of the day on Sunday. It’s not just rain though it’s thunderstorms and could keep the cars off the track much of, it not, all of the day. Keep in mind there’s no lights at New Hampshire either which makes it tough to race past 8:30 et. That doesn’t give a big window. Monday’s forecast is supposed to be more clear, a lot more.  It wouldn’t be surprising to see the race moved to Monday. However, that shouldn’t change the outlook much given that the temperature should be similar to what practice and qualifying was.

How To Build NASCAR DFS Lineups For Crayon 301

Practice and qualifying on Saturday setup an interesting field for the race at New Hampshire. This 1-mile track is one of the trickiest on the schedule with it being arguably the flattest track and having two sets of corners that handle a tad differently. If we’re looking to compare New Hampshire to others on the schedule, we can use Phoenix, Richmond, Martinsville, and Gateway. Though not all are exactly copies of New Hampshire, they use the same package. In past races at New Hampshire it’s been thought of as a track where passing doesn’t happen, but that’s not born out in the stats. In fact we have to go back to the second race in 2017 for the last pole-sitter win and back to 2012 before that for the next front row winner. See, you can pass. Strategy with pit stops can also help drivers move up through the field as well, especially those starting in the back.

When building lineups for cash contests this weekend, there are plenty of drivers who offer PD and a few different potential dominators. In order to really cash you’ll have to eat some of the chalk plays but a few drivers who are differentiators can get you over the finish line. As was mentioned on the podcast, it’s likely to be a 3v3 contest in the mid-tier and budget range. There tends to be a lack of cautions in these races and we’ll need as many drivers finishing highly as possible to hit and we can generally build with 1-2 laps led dominators.

If we’re looking to build for GPP or tournament contests, we’ll be looking for a few different options. The key to winning GPPs this week is to rack up as many laps led and fastest laps as possible. In the past at New Hampshire we’ve seen usually two dominators a race with one of them typically starting on the front row. Instead of looking at the guys who are likely to give a heap ton of PD points, we’ll be looking for a few more drivers who can nab strong finishes but might be starting closer to the front than some of the chalkier PD options we might be plugging into cash lineups. We want to look at drivers who ran well at practice this weekend but might not have the strongest track history here for GPPs.

Practice and Qualifying Results for New Hampshire

The following table is designed to show how the drivers performed at practice and qualifying over single-lap and 5-, 10-lap averages. It's supposed to show who may move up through the field and who might have out-qualified their speed.

DriverAvg. Prac to QualQual1-Lap5-Lap10-lap
Christopher Bell-411073
Martin Truex Jr12211
Aric Almirola-2132325 
Joey Logano-1241319 
Ryan Blaney-8517156
Tyler Reddick1646 
William Byron-147252116
Bubba Wallace38545
Brad Keselowski3985 
Kyle Busch3107  
Austin Dillon-1511322621
Daniel Suarez-412111819
Kevin Harvick31319127
AJ Allmendinger11418139
Kyle Larson415141113
Ricky Stenhouse Jr-12162927 
Michael McDowell1517122
Chase Elliott-418282414
Justin Haley151963 
Denny Hamlin13201294
Ryan Preece921151610
Austin Cindric122242018
Todd Gilliland4232217 
Corey Lajoie32421  
Alex Bowman025313015
Chris Buescher162691011
Chase Briscoe327262817
Harrison Burton-4283331 
Noah Gragson-1293029 
Erik Jones11301623 
Ross Chastain263138 
BJ McLeod-33235  
Ryan Newman433343220
Cole Custer1434272212
Ty Dillon-13536  
Ty Gibbs253620148

Average Points By Starting Spot at Past New Hampshire Races