PrizePicks NASCAR Player Props - August 21 Top Picks: Chase Elliott On The Pole For Watkins Glen
Matt Selz pores over the NASCAR data and analysis to bring you his top PrizePicks NASCAR Player Props and Bets for Sunday, August 21st and he's expecting a strong performance from the pole sitter.
Sunday brings one of the favorite road layouts on the NASCAR schedule in the form of Watkins Glen. The Go Bowling at The Glen is a 90-lap race around one of, if not, the fastest road courses NASCAR races on. With that speed comes some interesting chances to play props like what we have on PrizePicks today.
If you’re looking for further breakdowns of drivers or projections, you can check out the Weekly NASCAR DFS Podcast, the DFS Playbook, and the weekly Race Projections to see how we’re viewing the field for Sunday’s race at Watkins Glen.
Remember the Fantasy Points on PrizePicks are identical to the scoring on DraftKings. Laps Led, Fastest Laps, and Cars Passed categories are the same as those and PD on DraftKings as well.
Chase Elliott OVER 56.5 Fantasy Points
We have the pole-sitter and the best road racer in the Cup Series with the fastest car as well. Check please. The last time he was on the pole at Watkins Glen, in 2019, he led 80 laps and won the race, that could happen again, though it’s more likely that he leads about half the laps and still finishes top-three which is enough to hit this over.
Martin Truex Jr. UNDER 46.5 Fantasy Points
Hold up…isn’t this a road course and Martin Truex Jr.? Yep it and he sure are. However, this year the JGR cars just haven’t had the typical speed they’ve shown in the past at these tracks. He’s starting P25 on Sunday which means he need to get to P11, at least, with fastest laps as well. The practice speed wasn’t top-10 and not really close nor have they shown the ability to find speed during the races so far this year either.
William Byron OVER 32.5 NASCAR Points
These are NASCAR POINTS not Fantasy Points. What’s the difference? Well NASCAR points are the points the driver gets in the standings for how they finish the race, plus any stage wins. For Byron the 33 NASCAR points needed for the over means that he just needs to finish P8 or better starting from P4. He has top-five speed based on practice and he’s been sneaky quick at road courses previously. Even if he slips back a couple of spots, we still hit the over.
Chase Briscoe UNDER 4.5 Cars Passed
While he did pass 18 cars here last year, in his first run at the track in the Cup series, that’s not enough to sell me on the over. In his last 10 road races, he’s posted an average finish of 16.6 with a PD of 0.6. This year specifically, he’s gone backward in three of the four road races and not by a small amount. At practice the speed was hard to peg before qualifying. This smells of another tough road race for Briscoe.
Ty Gibbs OVER 30.5 Fantasy Points
Gibbs’ starting spot is 16th. That’s good for 27 points right off the bat. So that means he needs to move up just two spots to hit the over when factoring in the finish position points and the PD. Yes, he had an issue in practice, however, he still qualified just fine and has speed that’s just outside the top-10. All this negates his skills at this discipline of racing which has earned him a couple of wins at this style of track in the Xfinity Series, including at Watkins Glen.