The Tricky Triangle. Pocono Raceway looms large this weekend. Not only in it’s length, 2.5 miles a lap, but also in the playoff chase. It’s one of only three “normal” tracks left on the schedule prior to the start of the playoffs. After New Hampshire there are 14 different winners so far with just two spots left in the playoff field. Hence how Pocono looms large on the schedule.

NASCAR DFS Strategy for Pocono

The last few years at Pocono it’s tricky, ha a fitting pun, to count on the stats given how the races were setup. They were double headers with inversions in the field between the two races.  With that said, the general strategy remained the same through those races in terms of how to build lineups for this track. Dating back to the beginning of 2017, only three drivers in total led more than half the laps in a race. So we’re basically going with one dominator builds and perhaps two who lead a big chunk of the laps. Also since then, the winners here have come from the top-five four times, top-10 six times and outside of the top-13 four times. That’s an interesting span of winners huh. There’s also between 3-6 drivers a race to finish in the top-10 that started outside the top-10 which means moving up is possible here, though we need a bit of chaos for that to happen. Lapping doesn’t happen that much here because of the length of the lap nor does it happen when drivers pit because pit stops still don’t take longer than running a lap under green. The biggest concerns for DFS are cars breaking down, or wrecking, and tire concerns given it’s a new tire this week. So in essence, we’re building lines similar to an intermediate track with less emphasis on laps led simply because there are fewer of them and track history suggests one guy won’t run away with it.

Practice To Qualifying

The following chart shows the drivers starting spots, single-lap, and 5-lap averages for practice. It’s designed to spot perhaps some positional differential plays and some budget plays that could be intriguing.

DriverDK$FD $Prac to QualQualComb. Prac5-Lap
Kyle Busch$10,600$14,000-5276
Denny Hamlin$10,400$12,500-10111 
Martin Truex Jr$10,300$12,000-681411
Chase Elliott$10,100$13,500-73103
Ross Chastain$10,000$11,500202111
Kyle Larson$9,800$13,000-145 
Joey Logano$9,600$10,500-214169
Ryan Blaney$9,400$11,000-22628 
William Byron$9,200$10,000518137
Kevin Harvick$9,000$9,200-62430 
Christopher Bell$8,900$9,50091122
Chase Briscoe$8,700$7,000-7132021
Kurt Busch$8,500$9,00061045
Tyler Reddick$8,300$8,5008168 
Alex Bowman$8,100$8,8008179 
Daniel Suarez$7,900$8,000693 
Aric Almirola$7,800$7,800-15122716
Erik Jones$7,600$6,000283464
Bubba Wallace$7,500$7,500-5712 
Brad Keselowski$7,300$7,2004262214
Austin Cindric$7,200$6,5005201512
Austin Dillon$7,000$5,800-3151813
Chris Buescher$6,800$5,500-1251710
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$6,600$6,200019198
Michael McDowell$6,500$5,20042521 
Cole Custer$6,300$5,000-1323319
Justin Haley$6,100$4,800-23032 
Harrison Burton$6,000$3,0005282317
Ty Dillon$5,800$2,0001272615
Noah Gragson$5,600$4,000-9223118
Corey Lajoie$5,500$4,500-22325 
Todd Gilliland$5,300$2,50002929 
Cody Ware$5,100$3,000123624 
JJ Yeley$5,000$3,500-13334 
Josh Bilicki$4,800$2,000-4313520
BJ McLeod$4,700$2,500-13536 
(Max 3)
                                 
 DriverStartMakeCar Fanduel DraftKingsGame TypeBreakDown
Ky. Busch3Chevrolet8 $10000 $9700BothUPGRADE
De. Hamlin13Toyota11 $14000 $10500GPPUPGRADE
Ch. Elliott28Chevrolet9 $12000 $9800GPPUPGRADE
Ro. Chastain21Chevrolet1 $9000 $8600CashUPGRADE
Wi. Byron11Chevrolet24 $13500 $10000CashUPGRADE
Ke. HarvickFord29 $ $BothUPGRADE
Ch. Bell22Toyota20 $11500 $9100BothUPGRADE
Ku. Busch $ $GPPUPGRADE
Al. Bowman17Chevrolet48 $8000 $8200GPPUPGRADE
Da. Suárez23Chevrolet99 $7000 $7300GPPUPGRADE
Er. Jones37Toyota43 $7200 $8000CashUPGRADE
Br. Keselowski24Ford6 $11000 $9300GPPUPGRADE
Au. Cindric8Ford2 $7500 $7000GPPUPGRADE
Mi. McDowell1Ford34 $6500 $7700GPPUPGRADE
Ha. Burton16Ford21 $2500 $5400GPPUPGRADE
To. Gilliland4Ford38 $4000 $5800CashUPGRADE
Co. Ware $ $GPPUPGRADE