Wednesday night brings us plenty of interesting matchups on the Major League Baseball schedule as we look at top MLB Underdog picks and MLB player props. Our top MLB picks on Underdog Fantasy tonight feature Baltimore Orioles pitcher Jack Flaherty taking on the Houston Astros. Plus, Alec Bohm stays hot for the Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox pitcher Nick Pivetta faces the Kansas City Royals. Check out these free MLB player props and MLB daily picks on Underdog Fantasy for “Pick'Em” contests tonight. Don't forget to check out the latest MLB weather report and the confirmed MLB lineups when placing those MLB betting picks. Plus, the MLB daily projections and MLB Batter vs Pitcher page will help you find the best matchups for MLB player props and MLB DFS lineups. Let's dive into the top MLB player picks on Underdog Fantasy for Wednesday, August 9th.

 

MLB Underdog Fantasy Top Picks August 9

Jack Flaherty, Baltimore Orioles – HIGHER than 5.5 Strikeouts

In his first start with the Baltimore Orioles after the MLB Trade Deadline, Jack Flaherty tossed six strong innings of one-run ball with eight strikeouts. This continued a month-long stretch of solid outings from Flaherty going back to his time with the St. Louis Cardinals. The right-hander now has a 2.78 ERA since the start of July and has been a lot more effective than he was earlier this year. The strikeouts have also picked up with a 25.0% K rate since the All-Star break compared to a 21.8% K rate in the first half of the season. Flaherty has 6+ strikeouts in three of his four starts since the break and can keep it going tonight. You might think facing the Houston Astros would be a tough matchup, but check out these recent numbers. Over the past week vs right-handed pitching, the Astros have a 25.0% K rate with a poor .288 wOBA and .211 batting average – all bottom-10 marks in the league. This offense also has better overall numbers vs lefties this season. Flaherty will benefit from facing Houston’s righty-heavy lineup, outside of Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez. The Orioles starter has a much better 28.1% K rate vs righties compared to a 17.1% K rate vs lefties. 

Alec Bohm, Philadelphia Phillies – HIGHER than 1.5 Total Bases

Even in a loaded Philadelphia Phillies lineup, Alec Bohm is arguably the team’s best hitter this season and he’s swinging a hot bat right now. The Phils’ corner infielder is batting .379 with a 6.05 SLG over the past 15 games and he boasts a .367 BA over the past seven contests. He’s hitting for both power (six extra-base hits in the past nine games) and contact (30 total hits in 24 games since the All-Star break). As for total bases, Bohm has 2+ in six of the last nine games coming into tonight. He’ll face Washington Nationals left-hander Mackenzie Gore, who recently compiled a 6.64 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in the month of July. One of those starts featured seven runs allowed to the Phillies. Though Gore does have solid numbers vs right-handed hitters this year (.237 BAA), Bohm is batting .340 with a .979 OPS and .272 ISO vs lefty pitchers. Plus, he’s 3-for-6 with a homer in his career vs Gore. 

Nick Pivetta, Boston Red Sox – LOWER than 5.5 Strikeouts

This strikeout line for Nick Pivetta is set conservatively at 5.5 because he’s capable of big K performances. Case in point: he does have two double-digit strikeout outings in the past month. Even so, tonight’s matchup against the Kansas City Royals is actually a tougher one than you’d think. The Royals’ season-long numbers vs right-handed pitching aren’t too good, but this offense is raking lately. Over the past week, the Royals have an MLB-low 18.0% K rate vs righties with a .357 wOBA as well. Since the All-Star break, the KC offense also has just a 19.1% K rate against right-handers. Again, this matchup is a lot tougher than it was a month or two ago. Meanwhile, Pivetta’s strikeouts haven’t come as often when the Boston Red Sox use him as a traditional starting pitcher rather than out of the bullpen. Pivetta has a whopping 34.1% K rate as a reliever this season compared to a 24.9% K rate as a starter. He also has a 5.89 ERA as a starter and a 2.40 ERA as a reliever. The Red Sox are starting him tonight and we should expect the strikeouts to be limited, especially in this matchup. Another factor is that Pivetta just pitched four relief innings on Saturday and might not go too deep into this game. 

 

MLB Best Bets

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