We’re already starting Week 13, and as they say, time flies when you’re having fun! The Dallas Cowboys are kicking off their third game in 11 days, but they’re still very much favored in this home matchup against the Seattle Seahawks. Dallas is on a 13 game home winning streak, and against a free-falling Seahawks team, I don’t think that gets broken tonight. With a great game comes a lot of juicy stats, so let’s look at what we have going on tonight.

As you may know, we’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! So let’s get started and jump into some of my favorite Sleeper Picks for Week 12 of the NFL season.


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NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Thursday Night Football

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Since the bye week, Prescott has been red hot, throwing for at least two touchdowns in every single game since. Whatever was going on between him and CeeDee Lamb has clearly been rectified, and Mike McCarthy’s whole philosophy of “we’re going to run because we score too fast” has been thrown out the window. The Seahawks have allowed an average of over 230 passing yards per game, and with the recent red zone conversion percent that Dallas has been able to complete, I think this number is way higher. It’s not a great multiplier, but it does seem solid given recent events.

Pick: Dak Prescott more than 1.5 passing touchdowns (1.37x)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks

The Cowboys defense is very good, but they are exploitable out of the slot. Jourdan Lewis, Dallas’ slot corner, just can’t always hang with the speedy receivers, and Smith-Njigba should thrive against him. With Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf going up against DaRon Bland and Stephon Gilmore, Geno Smith may have nowhere else to go but the tight ends and the slot, so JSN should be able to hit this mark easily. Last week, Lewis gave up 100 yards to Curtis Samuel in what was otherwise a very good game defensively, and in a negative game script, expect the Seahawks to throw more than they usually do. 

Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba more than 43.5 receiving yards (1.78x)

Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks

Interception props can be flukey, but with how the Dallas defense is playing combined with Geno Smith’s injury, this one is too good to pass up. DaRon Bland has been a ball hawk this season, and anything going his way is in danger of being picked. Smith has also thrown for eight interceptions already this year, and in what should be a very negative game script, more passing attempts means more chances for a pick. He’s going to be pressured into making bad throws, and with everyone in the Cowboys secondary lurking, this is ripe for the taking.

Pick: Geno Smith more than .5 interceptions (1.57x)

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