After a big Thanksgiving Day slate and a Black Friday game, it may feel like Week 12 is well underway, but there’s plenty of action available for us on Sunday afternoon. Several of these games have low point totals or gigantic favorites (or both), so while there may be limited options for anytime touchdowns today, that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of other selections available. 

We’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! So let’s get started and jump into some of my favorite Sleeper Picks for Week 12 of the NFL season.



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Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers

Even with a change at offensive coordinator with the departure of Matt Canada, Jaylen Warren should still be set up for a very big day. He’s averaging 6.16 yards per carry on the season, and in the past two weeks, he’s had over 100 rushing yards against some tougher run defenses. This week, the Steelers get the Cincinnati Bengals, and they have been inefficient overall in containing running backs this season, ranking 30th in rush DVOA and giving up the second-most rushing yards per game at 131.8. We know that Warren will likely still be splitting carries with fellow running back Najee Harris, but if he can reach anywhere close to his season yards per carry average, he should reach this mark early on in the game.

Pick: Jaylen Warren more than 48.5 rushing yards (1.77x)

Dalton Kincaid, Buffalo Bills

While the New York Jets were able to contain Kincaid last week, holding him to just 46 yards, since Week 8, Kincaid has reached this mark or over in every other game. He also gets a favorable matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles and their exploitable secondary, which currently ranks dead last in DVOA against the tight end position. Yes, they were able to contain Travis Kelce last week, but there were some drops and other miscues that helped them, and in a game that should be close for the duration of the match, we should expect a higher than average number of passes. Kincaid is one of the most reliable receiving options in Buffalo, with an 87.9% catch rate, so as long as he continues to see the targets, he should be able to reach this.

Pick: Dalton Kincaid more than 50.5 receiving yards (1.76x)

Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman has largely flown under the radar this season, but he’s been very good everywhere it counts, including targets, receptions, and yardage. Coming off a bye, this Colts offense should be well-rested and ready to go, but aside from that, they also have a very good matchup against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that is decimated with injuries. Cornerback Jamel Dean has already been ruled out with fellow corner Carlton Davis remaining questionable, and if they were healthy, the Bucs are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position on the year. It’s difficult to run on Tampa Bay, so I expect Garner Minshew to throw more than he normally does, and if Pittman sees a similar workload to what he’s seen all season long, this should be easy for him.

Pick: Michael Pittman more than 70.5 receiving yards (1.79x)

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