NBA DFS Value Vault: May 10
Adam Ronis pores over the data and analysis to bring you his top value plays for tonight's DraftKings and Fanduel main slate!
K.J. Martin Jr., PF HOU ($6,200)
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J. Harden - SG
James Harden shot 9-of-13 from the field and 4-of-4 from the foul line in Friday’s win over the Wizards, accounting for 28 points, four rebounds, eight assists, three blocks, and six 3-pointers in 25 minutes.
Harden helped blow Friday’s game wide open during the second quarter, as he knocked down five 3-pointers and scored 21 points. A 20-point scorer in three straight, The Beard’s 28 on Friday are the most he’s put up in a game since February 5 (30 vs. Atlanta). With Russell Westbrook suffering a fractured left hand during the first half of Friday’s game, Harden will be asked to do even more at the point guard spot moving forward.
Added 6:02 am (EST)
M. Bagley - PF
Marvin Bagley III finished Friday’s loss to the Clippers with 10 points (5-of-9 FGs) and 10 rebounds in 28 minutes.
Bagley failed to record any assists or defensive stats, but he did finish with his seventh double-double since being traded to the Wizards. A fantasy afterthought while in Detroit, he has emerged as a player who should be rostered in standard leagues. The alternatives behind Bagley in Washington are Richaun Holmes and Eugene Omoruyi, which makes Bagley a relatively safe fantasy play. Washington plays four games during Week 19, beginning with the Jazz on Monday.
Added 5:57 am (EST)
D. Avdija - SF
Deni Avdija logged 26 minutes in Friday’s loss to the Clippers, amassing 14 points (4-of-11 FGs, 4-of-5 FTs), five rebounds, five assists, and two 3-pointers.
After playing 43 minutes in his first game back from a heel injury on Thursday, Avdija played 26 on Friday. The game turning into a blowout meant he could get additional rest in the fourth quarter, which should help with recovery. Avdija is closing in on top-100 per-game value in 8-cat formats, considerably exceeding his Yahoo ADP (145). The only question for the remainder of the season is how the Wizards will approach their remaining games, especially for the starters like Avdija.
Added 5:56 am (EST)
K. Kuzma - PF
Kyle Kuzma finished Friday’s loss to the Clippers with 32 points (13-of-19 FGs, 1-of-1 FTs), seven rebounds, one assist, one steal, and five 3-pointers in 29 minutes.
Kuzma has put up quality scoring numbers since the All-Star break, tallying 20 points or more in five of the six games he’s played. Turnovers have limited his value in 9-cat formats, but he’s a top 75 per-game player in 8-cat formats. Unfortunately for Kuzma and the Wizards, the production hasn’t translated into wins, as Washington has lost its last 14 games and has the NBA’s worst record (9-51 to the Pistons’ 9-50 mark). Finished for Week 18, Washington plays four games during Week 19, beginning with its road trip finale against the Jazz on Monday.
Added 5:54 am (EST)
P. George - SF
Paul George (left knee, meniscus irritation) logged 30 minutes in Friday’s 140-115 win over Washington, accounting for 22 points (8-of-15 FGs, 4-of-5 FTs), six rebounds, three assists, and two 3-pointers.
Active after missing two games with a sore knee, George shot the ball well and was one of three Clippers starters to score at least 22 points. The workload was just as encouraging as the point total, as PG played 30 minutes without issue. While he has been nagged by groin and knee issues, George has still played in 53 of the Clippers’ 58 games this season. As long as he remains healthy, fantasy managers will reap the benefits of rostering a player who has provided top 15 per-game value in 9-cat formats. The Clippers end their Week 18 slate in Minnesota before visiting the Bucks the following night.
Added 5:53 am (EST)
N. Vucevic - C
Nikola Vucevic was ejected during the fourth quarter of Friday’s game against the Bucks after picking up a Flagrant 2 foul.
Vucevic played 34 minutes before being given his marching orders with 9:27 remaining, finishing with 17 points (8-of-18 FGs), nine rebounds, three assists, and one 3-pointer. Providing top 50 per-game value in 9-cat formats for the season, Vooch has been a 6th-round player over the past three weeks. Chicago will hit the road for four games during Week 19, beginning with the Kings in Sacramento on Monday.
Added 5:24 am (EST)
K. Murray - SF
Keegan Murray played 43 minutes in Friday’s win over Minnesota, scoring 17 points (7-of-15 FGs, 2-of-2 FTs) with five rebounds, one assist, two steals, one block, and one 3-pointer.
After shooting 4-of-11 from the field and scoring 11 points in Sunday’s win over the Clippers, Murray has scored 17 or more in three straight. He’s been more productive than fantasy managers anticipated for the season, providing 5th-round per-game value in 9-cat formats. Murray hasn’t been as good in 8-cat formats, as removing turnovers from the equation boosts the values of many players with higher usage numbers than the second-year forward. He has been a dependable secondary option for the Kings, and there are still strides he can make to be even more impactful as a scorer.
Added 5:23 am (EST)
R. Holmes - PF
Richaun Holmes was ejected from Friday’s game against the Clippers during the third quarter after arguing he was fouled on a shot attempt.
Holmes quickly picked up two technical fouls after arguing he was fouled on a layup attempt. For some reason, he was allowed to remain on the court while Kawhi Leonard shot his two free throws. Holmes would then throw his mouthpiece while walking off the court, earning a third. His exit after accounting for two points, four rebounds, and one block in seven minutes means Eugene Omoruyi will assume the backup center responsibilities.
Added 5:14 am (EST)